Arthur Hayes Forecasts Surge to $10,000
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In a recent in-depth discussion on the Bankless podcast, Arthur Hayes, the ex-CEO of BitMEX and current CIO of Maelstrom, articulated his optimistic viewpoint on Ethereum, predicting that it could rise to $10,000 or even $15,000 as global liquidity dynamics and capital restrictions evolve in the next financial landscape.
When asked about the driving factors behind ETH’s increase of over 50% within a week, Hayes attributed it to market sentiment rather than technical indicators. “The most undervalued assets tend to rise quickly in the next wave,” he noted. “It’s just human psychology.” He believes Ethereum’s resurgence is long-awaited after being overshadowed by Solana and other volatile assets. “ETH was essentially stagnant. It was disliked. The BTC/ETH ratio was declining, Solana was gaining ground… it was about time.”
Reasons Ethereum Might Rise to $10,000
Even though he hasn’t expanded his holdings, Hayes expressed his ongoing confidence in Ethereum and was not deterred by its current valuation. “It’s great to see it climbing, but let’s have a chat when it hits $10,000 or $15,000. Let’s have a substantial conversation then.”
Additional Insights
Hayes contextualized Ethereum’s recovery within a larger narrative of what he describes as a global monetary transition—moving away from the US Treasury’s dominance as the global reserve asset, towards a divided system where value retention increasingly gravitates towards gold and Bitcoin. In this context, Ethereum is anticipated to gain not only from speculative capital but also due to fundamental shifts in capital movement under heightened financial regulations and restrictions.
While he reiterated his stance on gold and Bitcoin as the two neutral reserve assets in a politically divided world, Hayes envisions Ethereum as a significant high-risk opportunity in the impending wave of liquidity growth. “They’re creating more money,” he bluntly stated. “As a result, gold and Bitcoin will likely surge.”
However, the trajectory for Ethereum will not be straightforward. Hayes recognized ETH’s sluggish performance relative to Bitcoin so far, yet he suggested that Ethereum’s moment is on the horizon—especially if clarity in regulations improves or if decentralized finance regains momentum with sustainable revenue. He highlighted projects like EtherFi and Pendle as token ecosystems that could finally validate their worth based on fundamentals.
Additional Insights
Hayes contended that Ethereum has considerable potential to dramatically outperform, particularly as the market starts recognizing what he believes to be the onset of the decline in the 50-year dominance of the US Treasury-based financial system. “If you want to secure your access to capital and utilize it freely, the only assets worth owning are gold and Bitcoin,” he asserted. For investors willing to take on risk, ETH may be “a challenging venture” now—yet it could still be in the early stages of a significant uptrend.
Whether or not Ethereum reaches $10,000 by 2025 or later, Hayes is positioning himself for that possibility. “Mailstream consists of approximately 60% Bitcoin, 20% ETH, and a collection of other cryptocurrencies and token agreements. For my non-crypto assets, it’s solely physical gold, gold mining stocks, and Treasury bills,” Hayes disclosed.
At the time of reporting, ETH was priced at $2,477.
Image credit: YouTube, chart credit: TradingView.com.
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