Top Bitcoin Indicator Suggests There’s More to Come Despite Parabola Signals Failing
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Amid price fluctuations and recent market instability, a cryptocurrency analyst forecasts that Bitcoin (BTC) may possess potential for another upward rally. The analyst refers to historically robust top metrics that imply the market has yet to peak, even as initial upward signals are not leading to a market surge.
No Indication of a Bitcoin Cycle Peak — Yet
In a recent update on a social platform, market specialist Crypto Con presented a detailed technical analysis based on well-regarded Bitcoin cycle indicators established by DA_Prof. The related graph illustrated that Bitcoin’s current market progress has not yet reached the “cycle top” area—a zone that has regularly marked major market peaks historically.
DA Prof’s technical model incorporates elements from thirteen validated on-chain and market indicators. This multifaceted strategy has accurately predicted previous cycle peaks in 2013, 2017, and 2021, serving as a significant tool for potentially pinpointing long-term market shifts.
Crypto Con asserts that Bitcoin’s present price behavior and technical signals indicate readiness for a potential final peak rally. The analyst suggests a likely cycle peak in 2025 will emerge when Bitcoin enters a pivotal region defined by the overlap of these thirteen advanced metrics.
The metrics employed in DA Prof’s model consist of:
- Coin Value Days Destroyed (CVDD) Extension
- Net Unrealized Profit-Loss (NUPL)
- Market Value-Realized Value Z-score (MVRVZ)
- Calendar Seasonality (CSI: top near November 21)
- Puell Multiple (PUELL)
- Halving Seasonality (HSI: top near 538 days after halving event)
- Logarithmic PolyLog Regression (PLR)
- Realized Price (RP) Extension
- Plus Directional Movement (PDM)
- Logarithmic MACD (LMACD)
- Pi Cycle Top (PCT)
- Transaction Fee Spike (TFS)
- Risk
Crypto Con noted that traditionally, when these indicators clustered in the extreme zone, Bitcoin prices surged dramatically, followed by a notable downturn.
However, in the present cycle, none of DA Prof’s indicators have signaled entry into this zone. Instead, metrics in the lower spectrum of the model remain relatively subdued, suggesting that market enthusiasm has not yet reached previous cycle extremes.
Initial Parabola Signals, but No Peak Observed
While DA Prof’s leading Bitcoin indicators are yet to appear, the Parabola signals—another critical element of Crypto Con’s analysis—have activated three separate times in this cycle. These signals have historically correlated with the beginnings of Bitcoin’s significant price surges in prior bull markets.
Despite these signals, Bitcoin has not yet commenced a genuine parabolic breakout in 2025. Crypto Con pointed out that the parabola signal observed in May 2025 is particularly noteworthy, as it aligns with Bitcoin’s passage over the Parabolic Boundary indicator.
This crossing, coupled with the absence of DA Prof’s indicator array, produces a unique situation. Highlighting this peculiarity, Crypto Con raised the rhetorical question: “No cycle peak + parabola signal = ?”—suggesting that the true bullish pinnacle for Bitcoin may still lie ahead.
Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
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